陈桂林谈交易
陈桂林谈交易
There is a trend to play the trend, and there is no trend to play the fluctuation.
0Following
1.4Kfollowers
Feed
Feed
I don't know if I've fallen into an information cocoon, or if there really has been a talent drain on X;
It feels like aside from a few creators like the little bell, the timeline recommended to you and the ones you are following are filled with AI articles and emotional posts, completely lacking any impulse to even take a glance.
Do you have any treasure bloggers to recommend to me? It doesn't matter if I follow them or not, feel free to write them below, whether they're about trading, research, crypto, or US stocks, it's all good~~~
Continuing to maintain the viewpoint: As long as Bitcoin doesn't drop below 75,000 and doesn't close below 75,000, we are looking at a sideways movement, not a direct downturn.
1. It's only the end of April on the time frame, so there's no rush to drop. If there's a positive development, or if the U.S. stock market takes a break and continues to rise, it could go up at any time;
2. Observing from a side perspective: crude oil (Chart 1), gold (Chart 2), and silver are similar to gold;
3. The pressure above is also very obvious; the buying power should weaken as we approach the 80,000 mark. So now we can see it as a correction around 80,000 as a resistance level;
From a trading perspective: 1. Either don't participate, or wait for it to break below 75,000, and confirm the reversal before going short; 2. Or gamble on a Bitcoin pulse, hoping altcoins can have another wave, with stop-losses set, as other operations are meaningless. Sticking to Bitcoin and trading with heavy positions for its daily 1%-2% fluctuations is just messing with your own mindset.
4. Right now, Bitcoin is being ignored; it’s not breaking levels, and altcoins are too lazy to perform with it (Chart 3).
陈桂林谈交易
COINBASE has once again experienced a negative premium after several days, with perpetual contracts continuing to trade at a negative premium compared to spot (Figure 1).
The key support for Bitcoin is around 75,000. If the daily line falls below this level, it indicates a weakening market, and one should consider a short rebound strategy (Figure 2).
COINBASE has once again experienced a negative premium after several days, with perpetual contracts continuing to trade at a negative premium compared to spot (Figure 1).
The key support for Bitcoin is around 75,000. If the daily line falls below this level, it indicates a weakening market, and one should consider a short rebound strategy (Figure 2).
This market really doesn't inspire people to express themselves.
Yesterday it rose all day, then in the evening it suddenly dropped. Does that mean today it will drop for a hundred days, then suddenly rise in the evening?
If we take gold, silver, and oil as side observation indicators, it seems that gold and silver are about to rise, and crude oil is not far from dropping.
As for the US stock market, it seems to be taking a break after rising too much. And the crypto market? I don't know!
陈桂林谈交易
1. I started playing with altcoins over the weekend, and by this morning, the maximum floating profit was around 5000U, with an actual realized profit of 400U 😂
2. Yesterday, I thought this big coin was going to surge, and I felt there were still great opportunities with altcoins, but after it dropped, I was ready to quit gambling; if the big coin doesn't go up, the altcoins won't dare to move, so I'll wait for it to surge before making any moves. I'm just not skilled enough to catch the meme coins (I'm so bad it makes me want to cry);
3. This week, I'm planning to clear out the tickets (stocks and coins) I have. Right now, the big and flashy combo is sucking blood, and with the World Cup and SPACEX listing coming in June, it's predictable that it will attract heat and suck more blood;
4. May is a window period, and I expect to keep messing around. My plan is to do some short-term trading and then wait to see if there are opportunities to pick up some cheap chips for long-term holding;
5. Shorting is an option, but not a must. I'll do it in segments, without a big picture; because in the hypothetical scenarios, there are two different paths: ① a big drop and ② a bottoming process. If I assume a big drop from the start, once the market doesn't develop as expected, it can easily lead to operational distortions; so I'll still do it in segments, advancing when possible and retreating when necessary.
6. There's really not much to say about the short-term market at this position; it's still a market that can go up or down. It's better to use trading strategies and position allocation to respond more practically.
1. I started playing with altcoins over the weekend, and by this morning, the maximum floating profit was around 5000U, with an actual realized profit of 400U 😂
2. Yesterday, I thought this big coin was going to surge, and I felt there were still great opportunities with altcoins, but after it dropped, I was ready to quit gambling; if the big coin doesn't go up, the altcoins won't dare to move, so I'll wait for it to surge before making any moves. I'm just not skilled enough to catch the meme coins (I'm so bad it makes me want to cry);
3. This week, I'm planning to clear out the tickets (stocks and coins) I have. Right now, the big and flashy combo is sucking blood, and with the World Cup and SPACEX listing coming in June, it's predictable that it will attract heat and suck more blood;
4. May is a window period, and I expect to keep messing around. My plan is to do some short-term trading and then wait to see if there are opportunities to pick up some cheap chips for long-term holding;
5. Shorting is an option, but not a must. I'll do it in segments, without a big picture; because in the hypothetical scenarios, there are two different paths: ① a big drop and ② a bottoming process. If I assume a big drop from the start, once the market doesn't develop as expected, it can easily lead to operational distortions; so I'll still do it in segments, advancing when possible and retreating when necessary.
6. There's really not much to say about the short-term market at this position; it's still a market that can go up or down. It's better to use trading strategies and position allocation to respond more practically.
Chen Guilin stated on the evening of April 27 at 7 PM: "Many people feel that they don't understand what I'm saying, it's all nonsense; but I tell you, only those who have reached a certain dimension can understand what I'm saying!"
Feel free to refute, but if you do, I'll block you; if you don't refute, I'll also block you.
1. Regarding the price of Bitcoin: I believe it hasn't peaked yet, but I think it can only rise about 10% more at most;
2. Regarding Bitcoin's movement: I think the next phase will basically be a pretty bad time, and the movements won't be suitable for speculation;
3. Regarding operations: It's correct to take partial profits or move stop-losses up or exit to watch the show if you have long positions at the bottom. If you don't have any positions at the bottom, now is not a very suitable time to participate (my personal strategy is to take small positions with light stop-losses, betting on altcoins to continue bouncing back, using the profits from harvesting to set stop-losses, with the premise of mentally setting a limit on your position balance; any profits above that limit should not be considered profits, and once it breaks that limit, stop trading);
4. Regarding mindset: Even if Bitcoin shows a reversal trend on a weekly level, there will still be a need for pullbacks on the internal sub-levels; even if Bitcoin rockets to 90,000, altcoins will definitely have opportunities; so in trading, there's no such thing as missing out, don't panic. The reason why excellent assets are excellent is that their prices are also sufficiently excellent;
5. Regarding declines: Before it moves, no one knows how it will go. Starting a new round of declines and consolidating at the bottom are two completely different movements (this is explained in my highlighted post quoting MURPHY's post), so don't rush. I've noticed that many people have developed a trading mindset of being afraid to miss out while shorting in a bear market. If it's a bottoming market, it's you guys who will get killed.
Finally, don't rush. The worst thing in trading is being anxious. Even if Bitcoin rises to 100,000 now and you didn't go long; even if Bitcoin drops to 40,000 now and you didn't short; but if you have a full hand of USDT, then you still have a great opportunity.
After watching the introduction from @Mercy_okx and @Bitwux, I've decided to exchange the USDT in my OKX account for USDG to play around;
Originally, this account was mainly for contracts, and the USDT inside serves as margin;
In this kind of market with little explosive potential, making trades is just a way to farm profits, so since it's under safe conditions, I definitely want to achieve both (as margin) and (earning interest), maximizing the benefits.
