陈桂林谈交易

Summary of Week 19 from April 19 to 25, 2026: 1. Market Sentiment: AI remains the primary productivity force for printing money, from the flash combo to Intel and then to Nvidia's giant leap yesterday, showcasing both explosive and lasting power; After a brief rotation into the software sector for a few days, the market has returned, proving with real money that AI is the trend, and funds will only switch back and forth within various AI sectors. Other narratives, such as Dollar 2.0 and brokerages, need to take a back seat, and the crypto space is even more at the bottom. 2. Crypto Space 1. Although the crypto space is at the bottom, due to the high control of altcoins and the prices after the heel cuts, some have welcomed a wave of explosions. Although there are very few partners on the bus, let's focus on creating an emotional value hot spot; 2. Regarding Bitcoin, a phrase I often emphasize to the community is: "If your cost is below 65,000 for spot and your position is controlled within 50%, then this is a relatively high cost for long-term holding."; From a technical perspective, the rise since 64,938 is on par with the rise from 60,001 to 76,023, with a 1:1 target ratio of 80,960; currently, from the 4H level, there has been no short signal given, as seen in the black line and Fibonacci extension in the chart; 3. The green line in the chart represents two different paths. It is believed that we have reached a point where if you have long positions at the bottom, you can gradually take profits, but it is not yet time to short; taking profits is because we are approaching a key resistance level, allowing you to have more room for error by taking some profits, and if it really takes off, the lost points are not many, making it a risk-balanced strategy; however, without a clear top signal, going short naked could lead to being stopped out numerous times during the topping process, resulting in "seeing it right but not doing it right"; If you choose to widen your stop-loss and iceberg add to your faith short position, there was a group of people on Twitter doing this, adding from 68 to 70 to 72 to 74, and now they seem to be quiet, not sure if their faith is still there. 3. Operations and Plans 1. The good news is: since the bottom of Bitcoin in February, the overall return rate has outperformed Bitcoin by nearly 1x, with $CRCL contributing half of the profit, and the rest are scattered trades accumulated. One feeling is that if you miss the windfall, making money is really hard; the bad news is: still a bit short of breaking even, and it’s unclear when to break even 😂 2. Currently, I only hold $HOOD, which I have been holding, with an average price of 85. Next week is the earnings report, and I still need to see the performance before and after the report to make a choice. Currently, it’s at cost price, and the mid-term plan for this stock is to hold it until the World Cup to see if there’s a peak; 3. The familiar opportunity still lies in whether Bitcoin can truly strengthen (breaking above 80,000, the more the better), and then we need to look for a wave of pullback (or during the topping process) where altcoins may still have an explosion, as most altcoins are still at relatively low levels; 4. Then, I will wait for $CRCL to pull back to a more satisfactory price to continue buying; 5. To be honest, the AI track is tempting, but due to my lack of professional ability, it feels very crowded. I’m afraid I won’t be able to keep up with the rhythm and instead disrupt the current pace, so I can only wait for opportunities like a pullback similar to the female big to take some positions casually as if earning interest; 6. The remaining opportunities, such as waiting for key rebound resistance levels in gold and silver to short a wave, doing some CL type trades, are all small scattered opportunities; 7. On the timeline, the TGA account will start to release funds at the end of April, and the Super World Cup in the US, Canada, and Mexico will be in early June. During the World Cup, hot money will flow out to the prediction market, so for current risk assets, May is the window period; 8. The market never follows a single indicator's guidance. For example, when TGA started to withdraw on April 15, it didn’t drop but instead remained strong. Therefore, it’s still a step-by-step approach. News can be monitored, but pay more attention to K-line feedback, as the K-line is drawn with real money after integrating all news.

Teacher @fupenglondon, being a KOL in the crypto space isn't done like this. This kind of operation is generally associated with scam matrix accounts, just so you know.